Preseason Rankings
Sacred Heart
Northeast
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-10.0#324
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace69.4#170
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-5.9#322
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-4.2#305
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.8% 4.5% 1.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.7 15.7
.500 or above 14.4% 32.6% 10.8%
.500 or above in Conference 29.7% 45.2% 26.6%
Conference Champion 2.1% 4.1% 1.7%
Last Place in Conference 22.5% 12.5% 24.5%
First Four1.1% 2.4% 0.8%
First Round1.2% 3.0% 0.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Holy Cross (Away) - 16.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 0.70.0 - 0.7
Quad 1b0.0 - 0.90.0 - 1.6
Quad 20.1 - 1.70.1 - 3.3
Quad 30.9 - 5.71.0 - 9.0
Quad 48.7 - 11.39.7 - 20.3


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 206   @ Holy Cross L 61-68 16%    
  Nov 16, 2018 216   Army L 70-77 28%    
  Nov 17, 2018 207   @ Brown L 72-79 18%    
  Nov 18, 2018 306   Umass Lowell L 75-77 44%    
  Nov 24, 2018 269   @ Binghamton L 66-70 27%    
  Nov 27, 2018 193   Hartford L 67-75 32%    
  Nov 29, 2018 78   @ Boston College L 65-82 4%    
  Dec 02, 2018 293   @ Lafayette L 71-74 31%    
  Dec 10, 2018 276   @ Dartmouth L 67-71 27%    
  Dec 19, 2018 52   @ Seton Hall L 63-83 3%    
  Dec 22, 2018 31   @ St. John's L 62-84 2%    
  Dec 29, 2018 306   Umass Lowell L 75-77 54%    
  Jan 03, 2019 225   LIU Brooklyn L 73-79 39%    
  Jan 05, 2019 313   Central Connecticut St. L 67-68 56%    
  Jan 10, 2019 215   @ Wagner L 65-72 21%    
  Jan 12, 2019 315   Bryant L 75-76 57%    
  Jan 19, 2019 318   @ St. Francis Brooklyn L 71-72 38%    
  Jan 21, 2019 215   Wagner L 65-72 38%    
  Jan 24, 2019 233   @ Robert Morris L 66-72 22%    
  Jan 26, 2019 160   @ St. Francis (PA) L 69-79 14%    
  Jan 31, 2019 331   @ Mount St. Mary's W 67-66 45%    
  Feb 02, 2019 318   St. Francis Brooklyn L 71-72 57%    
  Feb 07, 2019 252   Fairleigh Dickinson L 72-77 44%    
  Feb 09, 2019 331   Mount St. Mary's W 67-66 65%    
  Feb 14, 2019 315   @ Bryant L 75-76 37%    
  Feb 16, 2019 225   @ LIU Brooklyn L 73-79 21%    
  Feb 21, 2019 252   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 72-77 25%    
  Feb 23, 2019 313   @ Central Connecticut St. L 67-68 37%    
  Feb 28, 2019 233   Robert Morris L 66-72 41%    
  Mar 02, 2019 160   St. Francis (PA) L 69-79 27%    
Projected Record 9.7 - 20.3 6.8 - 11.2




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 1.4 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 4.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.6 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 6.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.1 3.1 2.2 0.5 0.0 8.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.9 3.8 2.2 0.4 0.0 9.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.2 5.2 2.4 0.4 0.0 11.7 6th
7th 0.1 0.8 3.7 5.5 2.3 0.3 0.0 12.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.8 5.2 2.5 0.2 0.0 14.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 2.5 5.1 4.9 1.7 0.2 0.0 15.3 9th
10th 0.7 2.4 4.3 4.5 2.6 1.0 0.1 15.5 10th
Total 0.7 2.4 5.1 7.2 9.4 11.5 11.2 11.8 10.9 8.9 7.0 5.8 3.6 2.2 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 99.0% 0.3    0.2 0.0
15-3 74.3% 0.4    0.4 0.1 0.0
14-4 49.2% 0.6    0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 21.1% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0
12-6 5.8% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.1% 2.1 1.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 52.5% 52.5% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.0% 63.3% 63.3% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.3% 14.1% 14.1% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 0.6% 30.9% 30.9% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4
14-4 1.2% 17.8% 17.8% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.0
13-5 2.2% 12.3% 12.3% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 2.0
12-6 3.6% 9.5% 9.5% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 3.3
11-7 5.8% 5.1% 5.1% 16.0 0.0 0.3 5.5
10-8 7.0% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 6.9
9-9 8.9% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 8.8
8-10 10.9% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 10.8
7-11 11.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 11.8
6-12 11.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 11.2
5-13 11.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 11.5
4-14 9.4% 9.4
3-15 7.2% 7.2
2-16 5.1% 5.1
1-17 2.4% 2.4
0-18 0.7% 0.7
Total 100% 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.4 98.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%